Sport Picks
Portland Timbers vs Austin FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Providence Park, Portland, OR 
Match Events
25'
25'
Torres F.
Assist: Rosales J.
35'
35'
Guilherme Biro
47'
47'
Desler M.
AI Match Summary
Austin FC in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austin FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
35%
49%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Austin FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Portland Timbers average 2 goals a game right now, well clear of Austin FC's 1.43.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 12%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Timbers | Austin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Austin FC
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs Portland Timbers
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Austin FC
1:0
Oct 3, 2024 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Austin FC
0:1
May 30, 2024 MLS
Austin FC vs Portland Timbers
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Timbers Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Austin FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Torres F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Svatok O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Timbers 30 / 100
Austin FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Timbers Austin FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Timbers scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Austin FC let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Portland Timbers stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portland Timbers VS Austin FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Timbers
(Home) 11 Oct
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 3 Portland Timbers
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1 Portland Timbers
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1 Atlanta United
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1 Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2 St. Louis City
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1 Atlanta United
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2 St. Louis City
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4 Minnesota United
30 Aug
Portland Timbers
1 : 2 Austin FC
20 Aug
Portland Timbers
3 : 1 San Diego FC
Page 1 of 3
Austin FC
(Away) 11 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 4 Nashville SC
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3 San Diego FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0 Austin FC
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2 Austin FC
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 Colorado Rapids
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0 Austin FC
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2 Austin FC
30 Aug
Portland Timbers
1 : 2 Austin FC
27 Aug
Toluca
2 : 0 Austin FC
20 Aug
Seattle Sounders
1 : 2 Austin FC
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61:30 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 54:38 | 50 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52:45 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:35 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 39:39 | 37 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39:50 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41:46 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36:51 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 42:51 | 30 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35:68 | 22 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 63 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 68:50 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45:39 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 56:45 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 51:66 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 38:52 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58:65 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:46 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:48 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
