Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portland Timbers vs Club Tijuana

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup Providence Park, Portland, OR
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
El Ghezouani M.
Assist: Vega A.
36'
Vega A.
40' Event
Kelsy K.
Assist: Fory J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Portland Timbers
20%
Draws
40%
Club Tijuana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portland Timbers lately — more wins on the board than Club Tijuana.
  • Win probability leans Portland Timbers's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Portland Timbers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Portland Timbers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 15%
Club Tijuana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Timbers Club Tijuana
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Leagues Cup
Portland Timbers vs Club Tijuana
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portland Timbers Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelsy K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antony
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Club Tijuana Compare

Top Goalscorer El Ghezouani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 41 / 100
Club Tijuana 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Timbers Club Tijuana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Club Tijuana let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Club Tijuana has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portland Timbers VS Club Tijuana
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portland Timbers

(Home)
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1
Atlanta United
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2
St. Louis City
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4
Minnesota United
30 Aug
Portland Timbers
1 : 2
Austin FC
Page 1 of 6

Club Tijuana

(Away)
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas
5 : 2
Club Tijuana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)