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Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Providence Park, Portland, OR
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
02:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portland Timbers host Houston Dynamo in the MLS. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Houston Dynamo have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Portland Timbers have conceded 1.75 and scored 1.93. Head-to-head, Portland Timbers have won 1 to Houston Dynamo's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.75) point toward Houston Dynamo. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Portland Timbers
35%
Draws
29%
Houston Dynamo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portland Timbers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Houston Dynamo have won more games recently than Portland Timbers.
  • Win probability leans Portland Timbers's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 12%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Timbers Houston Dynamo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.93 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers
3:2
Sep 21, 2025 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo
3:1
Jun 2, 2024 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo
2:2
Mar 17, 2024 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 35 / 100
Houston Dynamo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Timbers Houston Dynamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Portland Timbers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Houston Dynamo conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Portland Timbers VS Houston Dynamo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Portland Timbers

(Home)
25 Oct
Portland Timbers
3 : 2
Charlotte FC
18 Oct
Portland Timbers
0 : 0
Colorado Rapids
15 Oct
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 0
Portland Timbers
11 Oct
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 3
Portland Timbers
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1
Portland Timbers
Page 1 of 6

Houston Dynamo

(Away)
25 Oct
Houston Dynamo
0 : 0
Minnesota United
18 Oct
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2
FC Dallas
15 Oct
San Diego FC
3 : 3
Houston Dynamo
11 Oct
Minnesota United
2 : 2
Houston Dynamo
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 31 16 7 8 63:32 55
2 FC Dallas 31 15 9 7 58:47 54
3 St. Louis City 31 14 9 8 56:44 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes 31 13 9 9 52:45 48
5 Houston Dynamo 31 13 9 9 41:39 48
6 Los Angeles FC 32 12 11 9 50:35 47
7 Seattle Sounders 31 11 10 10 41:39 43
8 Colorado Rapids 31 12 6 13 42:41 42
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 32 10 11 11 45:54 41
10 Real Salt Lake 31 11 6 14 48:48 39
11 Portland Timbers 31 10 7 14 54:58 37
12 San Diego FC 31 8 11 12 55:58 35
13 Minnesota United 31 8 11 12 47:55 35
14 Austin FC 31 8 10 13 40:57 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 31 6 4 21 37:77 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 31 21 7 3 66:23 70
2 New England Revolution 31 17 4 10 51:42 55
3 Inter Miami 31 15 10 6 73:53 55
4 Chicago Fire 31 15 6 10 55:46 51
5 Charlotte FC 31 13 8 10 55:48 47
6 Philadelphia Union 31 13 7 11 62:50 46
7 Orlando City 31 12 6 13 60:72 42
8 FC Cincinnati 31 11 9 11 64:71 42
9 New York Red Bulls 31 11 6 14 41:56 39
10 Columbus Crew 31 11 5 15 50:49 38
11 Toronto FC 31 8 12 11 48:59 36
12 New York City 31 8 11 12 45:43 35
13 DC United 31 7 12 12 38:55 33
14 Atlanta United 31 8 6 17 39:54 30
15 CF Montreal 31 6 7 18 36:62 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)