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Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Providence Park, Portland, OR
Portland Timbers Logo

Portland Timbers

2 - 1
FT
Real Salt Lake Logo

Real Salt Lake

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Bassett C.
18' Event
Sanabria J.
Assist: Guilavogui M.
34'
Guilavogui M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portland Timbers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Portland Timbers
20%
Draws
48%
Real Salt Lake
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Salt Lake

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portland Timbers come out ahead of Real Salt Lake on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Portland Timbers taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 16%
Real Salt Lake Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Timbers Real Salt Lake
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake
2:1
May 2, 2026 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers
2:0
Oct 23, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake
3:1
Jul 17, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake
0:1
May 15, 2025 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portland Timbers Compare

Top Goalscorer Mora F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Real Salt Lake Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanabria J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 36 / 100
Real Salt Lake 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Timbers Real Salt Lake

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Real Salt Lake's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Real Salt Lake has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portland Timbers VS Real Salt Lake
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portland Timbers

(Home)
11 Oct
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 3
Portland Timbers
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1
Portland Timbers
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1
Atlanta United
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2
St. Louis City
Page 1 of 6

Real Salt Lake

(Away)
10 Oct
Philadelphia Union
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2
New York City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)