Sport Picks
Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes
USA
MLS Providence Park 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- San Jose Earthquakes carry the better recent record into this one.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Portland Timbers taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- San Jose Earthquakes have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Timbers | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Timbers Compare
San Jose Earthquakes Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Portland Timbers's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
San Jose Earthquakes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Difficult form: San Jose Earthquakes registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:12 | 32 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:22 | 25 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:17 | 24 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 24 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19:23 | 22 |
| 8 | Minnesota United | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | 22 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:22 | 20 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30:27 | 17 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25:24 | 16 |
| 12 | St. Louis City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:28 | 14 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:31 | 14 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:36 | 11 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 33 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 19 |
| 9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | 16 |
| 11 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | 14 |
| 12 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | 14 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | 7 |