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Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Providence Park, Portland, OR
Portland Timbers Logo

Portland Timbers

2 - 1
FT
Seattle Sounders Logo

Seattle Sounders

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Arriola P. In: Kossa-Rienzi K.
Out: Arriola P.
25'
Kingston P.
27' Event
Kossa-Rienzi K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Portland Timbers and Seattle Sounders finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portland Timbers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Portland Timbers
30%
Draws
51%
Seattle Sounders
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Seattle Sounders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portland Timbers come out ahead of Seattle Sounders on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Seattle Sounders taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Timbers Seattle Sounders
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders
2:1
Jul 17, 2026 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers
1:5
Oct 5, 2025 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers
1:0
May 18, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portland Timbers Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelsy K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bye B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Seattle Sounders Compare

Top Goalscorer Kossa-Rienzi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 10 / 100
Seattle Sounders 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Timbers Seattle Sounders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seattle Sounders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Seattle Sounders has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Portland Timbers has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portland Timbers VS Seattle Sounders
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portland Timbers

(Home)
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1
Portland Timbers
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1
Atlanta United
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2
St. Louis City
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4
Minnesota United
Page 1 of 6

Seattle Sounders

(Away)
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
13 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1
Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)