Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portmany vs Alcudia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Lopez K.
51' Event
Peluffo A.
57' Event
Romero A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Portmany and Alcudia finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portmany.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Portmany
30%
Draws
47%
Alcudia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Alcudia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alcudia a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Portmany Clean Sheet 15%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmany Alcudia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.77 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Alcudia
3:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Portmany
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Portmany
2:4
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Alcudia
2:2
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Portmany
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmany Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Alcudia Compare

Top Goalscorer Peluffo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmany 10 / 100
Alcudia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmany Alcudia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Alcudia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Portmany has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Portmany scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Portmany VS Alcudia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmany

(Home)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

Alcudia

(Away)
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)