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Portmany vs Constancia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Llabres M.

AI Match Summary

Constancia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Constancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Portmany
35%
Draws
40%
Constancia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Constancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Constancia lately — more wins on the board than Portmany.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Constancia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Portmany Clean Sheet 10%
Constancia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmany Constancia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Constancia
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Portmany
4:0
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Portmany
5:0
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Constancia
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Constancia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmany Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Constancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Llabres M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmany 10 / 100
Constancia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmany Constancia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Portmany stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Portmany scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Constancia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portmany VS Constancia
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmany

(Home)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

Constancia

(Away)
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3
Constancia
25 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1
Constancia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)