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Portmany vs Llosetense

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Portmany and Llosetense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Portmany
35%
Draws
32%
Llosetense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Llosetense come out ahead of Portmany on wins alone.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Llosetense taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Portmany Clean Sheet 13%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmany Llosetense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.77 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.99 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Portmany
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Llosetense
0:0
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Portmany
5:4
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Llosetense
1:1
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Llosetense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmany 27 / 100
Llosetense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmany Llosetense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llosetense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Llosetense conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Portmany has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Portmany's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Portmany VS Llosetense
0.86 Goals Scored 1.5
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmany

(Home)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

Llosetense

(Away)
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)