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Portmore vs Chapelton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portmore host Chapelton in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Portmore at 1.6 goals for, 1.13 against; Chapelton at 1.06 for, 1.65 against. Head-to-head, Portmore have won 2 to Chapelton's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.53 vs 0.78, favoring Portmore. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Portmore
35%
Draws
27%
Chapelton
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portmore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Chapelton haven't matched Portmore's recent run of results.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Portmore taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Portmore Clean Sheet 20%
Chapelton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmore Chapelton
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.6 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.53 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Chapelton vs Portmore
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Chapelton
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Portmore
3:2
Mar 23, 2025 Premier League
Portmore vs Chapelton
0:1
Jan 22, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Portmore
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmore 76 / 100
Chapelton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmore Chapelton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portmore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmore found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Portmore has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Chapelton conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Portmore VS Chapelton
1.63 Goals Scored 0.57
1 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmore

(Home)
14 Oct
Portmore
3 : 1
Violette
08 Oct
Portmore
1 : 1
Waterhouse
06 Oct
Arnett Gardens
1 : 1
Portmore
27 Sept
Portmore
4 : 1
Humble Lions
17 Sept
Cibao
1 : 2
Portmore
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Chapelton

(Away)
18 Oct
Chapelton
1 : 0
Treasure Beach
11 Oct
Humble Lions
0 : 0
Chapelton
05 Oct
Chapelton
0 : 6
Waterhouse
27 Sept
Tivoli
1 : 1
Chapelton
20 Sept
Chapelton
2 : 1
Molynes United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montego Bay 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Racing United 6 4 1 1 14:6 13
3 Waterhouse 6 3 3 0 15:2 12
4 Tivoli 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
5 Tru-Juice FC 6 3 2 1 10:3 11
6 Chapelton 6 2 2 2 4:10 8
7 Cavalier 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
8 Molynes United 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
9 Portmore 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
10 Arnett Gardens 5 1 2 2 10:9 5
11 Mount Pleasant 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
12 FC Dunbeholden 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
13 Treasure Beach 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
14 Humble Lions 6 0 2 4 2:17 2
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)