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Portmore vs Racing United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Ferdi Neita Sports Complex, Portmore
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Ximines T.
83' Event
Small R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Portmore advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Portmore
20%
Draws
42%
Racing United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Racing United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Portmore carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Portmore have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Portmore, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Portmore Clean Sheet 14%
Racing United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmore Racing United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 1.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Racing United
2:0
May 10, 2026 Premier League
Racing United vs Portmore
3:3
May 3, 2026 Premier League
Racing United vs Portmore
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Racing United vs Portmore
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Portmore vs Racing United
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmore Compare

Top Goalscorer Ximines T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Small R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.76

Racing United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.47
Avg xA / game 0.9

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmore 31 / 100
Racing United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmore Racing United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmore's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Portmore remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Racing United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portmore VS Racing United
1.88 Goals Scored 1.86
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmore

(Home)
08 Oct
Portmore
1 : 1
Waterhouse
06 Oct
Arnett Gardens
1 : 1
Portmore
27 Sept
Portmore
4 : 1
Humble Lions
17 Sept
Cibao
1 : 2
Portmore
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
Page 1 of 6

Racing United

(Away)
04 Oct
Molynes United
0 : 6
Racing United
27 Sept
Racing United
0 : 1
Montego Bay
20 Sept
Mount Pleasant
0 : 1
Racing United
15 Sept
Racing United
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
14 May
Portmore
2 : 0
Racing United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mount Pleasant -
TBD -
Portmore 5
Racing United 3
Montego Bay -
TBD -
Waterhouse 2
Cavalier 4
Semi-finals
Mount Pleasant 3
Portmore 4
Montego Bay 1
Cavalier 2
Final
Portmore 3
Cavalier 2
Mount Pleasant 3
Montego Bay 2