Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Porto-BA vs Barcelona FC

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Estadio Municipal Agnaldo Bento dos Santos, Porto Seguro
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sub
Hebert In: Hadrian
Out: Hebert
38' Event
Gianlucas
46'
Sub
Pedro Lima In: Cesinha
Out: Pedro Lima

AI Match Summary

The Baiano game between Porto-BA and Barcelona FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Porto-BA
28%
Draws
22%
Barcelona FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Porto-BA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Porto-BA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Porto-BA taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Porto-BA Clean Sheet 68%
Barcelona FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto-BA Barcelona FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 12
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Baiano
Porto-BA vs Barcelona FC
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Baiano
Porto-BA vs Barcelona FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto-BA Compare

Top Goalscorer Peu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Barcelona FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gianlucas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto-BA 59 / 100
Barcelona FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto-BA Barcelona FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Porto-BA scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Porto-BA went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porto-BA VS Barcelona FC
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto-BA

(Home)
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
30 May
Porto-BA
1 : 3
Tombense
25 May
Democrata GV
3 : 1
Porto-BA
16 May
Porto-BA
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
09 May
Porto-BA
1 : 2
Real Noroeste
Page 1 of 7

Barcelona FC

(Away)
22 Feb
Jequie
1 : 1
Barcelona FC
19 Feb
Barcelona FC
0 : 0
Juazeirense
11 Feb
Bahia de Feira
6 : 1
Barcelona FC
01 Feb
Barcelona FC
0 : 2
Vitoria
28 Jan
Porto-BA
1 : 1
Barcelona FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bahia972026:923
2Vitoria944113:416
3Jacuipense934211:1013
4Juazeirense93427:913
5Jequie933315:1312
6Porto-BA925210:1211
7Barcelona FC92437:1510
8Galicia93067:149
9Bahia de Feira923411:129
10Alagoinhas90365:143
Promotion - Baiano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Baiano 2 2027 (Main)