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Porto-BA vs Juazeirense

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Estadio Municipal Agnaldo Bento dos Santos
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Bruno Sena
Own Goal
21'
Anderson
45'
Sub
Bruno Ferreira In: Everton Dias
Out: Bruno Ferreira

AI Match Summary

Juazeirense in this Baiano matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juazeirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Porto-BA
33%
Draws
40%
Juazeirense
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Juazeirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Juazeirense have won more games recently than Porto-BA.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Juazeirense taking it.
  • Regular Baiano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Porto-BA Clean Sheet 23%
Juazeirense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto-BA Juazeirense
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Baiano
Porto-BA vs Juazeirense
1:3
Jan 30, 2025 Baiano
Juazeirense vs Porto-BA
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto-BA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Juazeirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Marlon Almeida
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ze Romario
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto-BA 29 / 100
Juazeirense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto-BA Juazeirense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JZE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juazeirense let in goals in 76% of their last 37 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Porto-BA scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Porto-BA went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porto-BA VS Juazeirense
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bahia972026:923
2Vitoria944113:416
3Jacuipense934211:1013
4Juazeirense93427:913
5Jequie933315:1312
6Porto-BA925210:1211
7Barcelona FC92437:1510
8Galicia93067:149
9Bahia de Feira923411:129
10Alagoinhas90365:143