Sport Picks
Match Events
56'
56'
Clerici N.
65'
65'
Mercado N.
72'
72'
Braghini W.
AI Match Summary
Pineto in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
35%
43%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pineto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Pineto have won more games recently than Porto D'Ascoli.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Pineto arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Pineto, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Porto D'Ascoli Clean Sheet 20%
Pineto Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Porto D'Ascoli | Pineto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 13 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs Porto D'Ascoli
2:2
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Pineto
1:3
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Porto D'Ascoli vs Pineto
1:2
Apr 20, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs Porto D'Ascoli
0:0
Nov 14, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Pineto
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Porto D'Ascoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Clerici N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Pineto Compare
Top Goalscorer Mercado N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Braghini W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Porto D'Ascoli 32 / 100
Pineto 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Porto D'Ascoli Pineto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pineto has conceded goals in 75% of their last 36 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Porto D'Ascoli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Porto D'Ascoli scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Pineto
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Porto D'Ascoli
(Home) 07 May
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 1 Porto D'Ascoli
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2 US Tolentino
23 Apr
Pineto
2 : 2 Porto D'Ascoli
16 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Nuova Florida
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Porto D'Ascoli
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2 US Tolentino
16 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Nuova Florida
02 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Calcio Chieti
11 Mar
Porto D'Ascoli
0 : 0 Montegiorgio
26 Feb
Porto D'Ascoli
2 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 3
Pineto
(Away) 20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2 Pineto
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1 Forli FC
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1 Pineto
29 Aug
Pineto
0 : 0 Livorno
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2 Pineto
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1 Pineto
23 Aug
Latina
0 : 0 Pineto
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0 Pineto
06 May
Campobasso
1 : 1 Pineto
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chisola 1
Bra 3
Ligorna 2
Sestri Levante 1
Casale 0
Derthona FbC 1
Crema 2
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Franciacorta 3
Breno 1
Varesina 0
Varese FC 1
Arconatese 3
Caronnese 0
Giana Erminio 2
Alcione Milano 1
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Clodiense 2
Legnago Salus 1
Caldiero Terme 1
Montebelluna 2
Este 1
Adriese 3
Carpi 1
United Riccione 2
G.S. Bagnolese 3
Correggese 2
Seravezza Pozzi 3
Pistoiese 0
Prato 1
Poggibonsi 0
Lupa Frascati 1
Arezzo 2
Sporting Trestina 0
Orvietana 2
Porto D'Ascoli 1
Pineto 2
US Tolentino 2
Fano 1
Arzachena 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Roma City 0
Tivoli Calcio 3
Trastevere Calcio 2
Flaminia 1
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Molfetta Calcio 0
Cavese 2
Vastogirardi 1
Citta di Fasano 0
Altamura 1
Casertana 3
Real Normanna 2
Francavilla 1
Lavello 0
Nocerina 3
Portici 1906 4
Lamezia Terme 3
Cittanovese 0
AS Acireale 2
Paterno 0
S. Agata 1
Trapani 2
1/16-finals
Bra 2
Ligorna 0
Derthona FbC 1
Crema 2
Franciacorta 0
Varese FC 1
Arconatese 1
Giana Erminio 3
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Clodiense 1
Montebelluna 1
Adriese 2
United Riccione 3
G.S. Bagnolese 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2
Prato 3
Arezzo 2
Orvietana 1
Pineto 5
US Tolentino 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Tivoli Calcio 0
Trastevere Calcio 0
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Cavese 2
Altamura 0
Casertana 0
Francavilla 2
Portici 1906 1
Lamezia Terme 2
AS Acireale 0
Trapani 7
1/8-finals
Bra 1
Crema 3
Varese FC 0
Giana Erminio 2
Clodiense 0
Adriese 6
United Riccione 1
Prato 0
Arezzo 1
Pineto 2
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Puteolana Internapoli 2
Cavese 1
Francavilla 0
Lamezia Terme 2
Trapani 1
Quarter-finals
Crema 1
Giana Erminio 2
Adriese 3
United Riccione 1
Pineto 4
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Cavese 1
Lamezia Terme 2
Semi-finals
Giana Erminio 1
Adriese 0
Pineto 1
Lamezia Terme 0
Final
Giana Erminio 2
Pineto 4
