Sport Picks
Porto D'Ascoli vs US Tolentino
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
Porto D'Ascoli play US Tolentino in the Serie D - Group F 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Porto D'Ascoli averaged 0.77 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. US Tolentino averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Porto D'Ascoli won 2, US Tolentino won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 30, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Porto D'Ascoli and 0.69 for US Tolentino. This points to a Porto D'Ascoli double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Porto D'Ascoli picked up more points recently compared to US Tolentino.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.69 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Porto D'Ascoli | US Tolentino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Porto D'Ascoli Compare
US Tolentino Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Porto D'Ascoli scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
US Tolentino let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Porto D'Ascoli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
US Tolentino lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pineto | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 50:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 52:34 | 67 |
| 3 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 56:41 | 62 |
| 4 | Fano | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 45:34 | 60 |
| 5 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 32:23 | 52 |
| 6 | Matese | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39:37 | 46 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 29:27 | 46 |
| 9 | Porto D'Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 28:27 | 45 |
| 10 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:31 | 42 |
| 11 | Nuova Florida | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 33:44 | 42 |
| 12 | Avezzano | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 35:41 | 40 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:42 | 37 |
| 14 | Vastese | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 37:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Termoli | 34 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 16 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 21:34 | 31 |
| 18 | US Tolentino | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 25:41 | 31 |