Sport Picks
Porto D'Ascoli vs Vigor Senigallia Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 
Match Events
30'
30'
Napolano G.
31'
31'
Mancini L.
54'
54'
Buonavoglia S.
AI Match Summary
Porto D'Ascoli in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Porto D'Ascoli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
35%
53%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vigor Senigallia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Vigor Senigallia lately — more wins on the board than Porto D'Ascoli.
- Win probability leans Vigor Senigallia's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Porto D'Ascoli Clean Sheet 18%
Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Porto D'Ascoli | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 13 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 26, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Vigor Senigallia
2:1
Oct 23, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Porto D'Ascoli
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Porto D'Ascoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Napolano G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Buonavoglia S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Vigor Senigallia Compare
Top Goalscorer Mancini L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Porto D'Ascoli 15 / 100
Vigor Senigallia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Porto D'Ascoli Vigor Senigallia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vigor Senigallia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Vigor Senigallia conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Porto D'Ascoli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Porto D'Ascoli found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Vigor Senigallia
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Porto D'Ascoli
(Home) 07 May
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 1 Porto D'Ascoli
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2 US Tolentino
23 Apr
Pineto
2 : 2 Porto D'Ascoli
16 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Nuova Florida
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Porto D'Ascoli
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2 US Tolentino
16 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Nuova Florida
02 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Calcio Chieti
11 Mar
Porto D'Ascoli
0 : 0 Montegiorgio
26 Feb
Porto D'Ascoli
2 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 3
Vigor Senigallia
(Away) 27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0 Giulianova
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
03 May
Unipomezia
3 : 3 Vigor Senigallia
19 Apr
Castelfidardo
1 : 3 Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pineto | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 50:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 52:34 | 67 |
| 3 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 56:41 | 62 |
| 4 | Fano | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 45:34 | 60 |
| 5 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 32:23 | 52 |
| 6 | Matese | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39:37 | 46 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 29:27 | 46 |
| 9 | Porto D'Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 28:27 | 45 |
| 10 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:31 | 42 |
| 11 | Nuova Florida | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 33:44 | 42 |
| 12 | Avezzano | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 35:41 | 40 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:42 | 37 |
| 14 | Vastese | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 37:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Termoli | 34 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 16 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 21:34 | 31 |
| 18 | US Tolentino | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 25:41 | 31 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)
