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Porto Football U20 vs Referencia U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

47'
Feitosa D.
88' Event
Penalty Missed
90' Event
Furlan A.

AI Match Summary

Referencia U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Referencia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Porto Football U20
15%
Draws
51%
Referencia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Referencia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Referencia U20 have won more games recently than Porto Football U20.
  • Win probability leans Referencia U20's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Porto Football U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Referencia U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Football U20 Referencia U20
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Paulista U20
Porto Football U20 vs Referencia U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto Football U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Referencia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Furlan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Football U20 12 / 100
Referencia U20 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Football U20 Referencia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Referencia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Referencia U20 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Porto Football U20 scored in 54% of their last 24 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Porto Football U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porto Football U20 VS Referencia U20
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto Football U20

(Home)
04 Sept
Porto Football U20
1 : 7
Gremio Prudente U20
21 Aug
XV de Jau U20
0 : 1
Porto Football U20
14 Aug
Ituano U20
3 : 1
Porto Football U20
11 Aug
Porto Football U20
0 : 1
Maua FC U20
07 Aug
Porto Football U20
1 : 0
Flamengo SP U20
Page 1 of 5

Referencia U20

(Away)
12 Sept
Referencia U20
2 : 0
Maua FC U20
04 Sept
Tanabi U20
0 : 2
Referencia U20
21 Aug
Referencia U20
0 : 2
Palmeiras U20
14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0
Sfera U20
11 Aug
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1
Referencia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)