Sport Picks
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Castelfidardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 game between Porto Sant'Elpidio and Castelfidardo finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Porto Sant'Elpidio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Castelfidardo come out ahead of Porto Sant'Elpidio on wins alone.
- Model gives Porto Sant'Elpidio a 54% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Porto Sant'Elpidio Clean Sheet 20%
Castelfidardo Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Porto Sant'Elpidio | Castelfidardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 23 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 0.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Castelfidardo
0:0
Jan 10, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Castelfidardo vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Porto Sant'Elpidio 85 / 100
Castelfidardo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Porto Sant'Elpidio Castelfidardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Porto Sant'Elpidio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castelfidardo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 35 matches.
Porto Sant'Elpidio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Castelfidardo lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Porto Sant'Elpidio scored in 47% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Castelfidardo
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Porto Sant'Elpidio
(Home) 19 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
2 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Jun
Vastese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
13 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
3 : 2 Castelnuovo Vomano
06 Jun
Campobasso
1 : 1 Porto Sant'Elpidio
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
Page 1 of 6
19 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
2 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
13 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
3 : 2 Castelnuovo Vomano
26 May
Porto Sant'Elpidio
2 : 1 Roma City
23 May
Porto Sant'Elpidio
0 : 1 Matese
12 May
Porto Sant'Elpidio
1 : 3 FC Rieti
Page 1 of 3
Castelfidardo
(Away) 03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2 AS Sora
26 Apr
Fossombrone
3 : 1 Castelfidardo
19 Apr
Castelfidardo
1 : 3 Vigor Senigallia
12 Apr
Giulianova
0 : 0 Castelfidardo
02 Apr
Castelfidardo
2 : 2 Maceratese
Page 1 of 7
26 Apr
Fossombrone
3 : 1 Castelfidardo
12 Apr
Giulianova
0 : 0 Castelfidardo
29 Mar
Unipomezia
3 : 1 Castelfidardo
01 Mar
Ostiamare
2 : 1 Castelfidardo
15 Feb
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1 Castelfidardo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campobasso | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 63:29 | 72 |
| 2 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 59:34 | 64 |
| 3 | Pineto | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 45:33 | 56 |
| 4 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 51:35 | 56 |
| 5 | Matese | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:38 | 56 |
| 6 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 46:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Recanatese | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 62:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Castelnuovo Vomano | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 53:53 | 50 |
| 9 | Vastese | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 42:42 | 46 |
| 11 | FC Rieti | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:42 | 44 |
| 12 | Aprilia | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:49 | 44 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 40:41 | 40 |
| 14 | US Tolentino | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 52:53 | 40 |
| 15 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46:51 | 40 |
| 16 | Giulianova | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 33:50 | 31 |
| 17 | Porto Sant'Elpidio | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22:63 | 17 |
| 18 | Agnonese | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 25:83 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
