Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group F 2020/2021

Porto Sant'Elpidio

1 - 3

FC Rieti

Our Tip

Match Events

Gelsi A.

13'

Prandelli M.

28'

Prandelli M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 game between Porto Sant'Elpidio and FC Rieti finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Rieti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Porto Sant'Elpidio

Draws

FC Rieti

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Porto Sant'Elpidio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Porto Sant'Elpidio haven't matched FC Rieti's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Porto Sant'Elpidio taking it.
Regular Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Porto Sant'Elpidio Clean Sheet 68%

FC Rieti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Porto Sant'Elpidio	FC Rieti
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	4	11
Draws	3	6
Losses	23	15
Goals Scored	0	0.88
Goals Conceded	0	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2021 Serie D - Group F

Porto Sant'Elpidio vs FC Rieti

Possession: 60% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

1:3

Jan 20, 2021 Serie D - Group F

FC Rieti vs Porto Sant'Elpidio

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto Sant'Elpidio Compare

Top Goalscorer Gelsi A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

FC Rieti Compare

Top Goalscorer Prandelli M.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Sant'Elpidio 95 / 100

FC Rieti 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Porto Sant'Elpidio FC Rieti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Rieti conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Porto Sant'Elpidio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

FC Rieti's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Rieti

0 Goals Scored 0.88

0 Goals Conceded 1.5

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Campobasso	34	21	9	4	63:29	72
2	Notaresco Calcio	34	18	10	6	59:34	64
3	Pineto	34	15	11	8	45:33	56
4	Cynthialbalonga	34	14	14	6	51:35	56
5	Matese	34	15	11	8	46:38	56
6	Castelfidardo	34	14	13	7	46:33	55
7	Recanatese	34	13	11	10	62:45	50
8	Castelnuovo Vomano	34	14	8	12	53:53	50
9	Vastese	34	12	13	9	45:37	48
10	Montegiorgio	34	13	7	14	42:42	46
11	FC Rieti	34	12	8	14	38:42	44
12	Aprilia	34	11	11	12	43:49	44
13	Roma City	34	8	16	10	40:41	40
14	US Tolentino	34	9	13	12	52:53	40
15	Vastogirardi	34	10	10	14	46:51	40
16	Giulianova	34	7	10	17	33:50	31
17	Porto Sant'Elpidio	34	4	5	25	22:63	17
18	Agnonese	34	3	6	25	25:83	15