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Porto vs Tak Chun Ka I

Macao Macao

Elite League 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Porto play Tak Chun Ka I in the Elite League 2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Porto averaged 2.31 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Tak Chun Ka I averaged 2.93 goals scored and 2.91 conceded. In past meetings, Porto won 1, Tak Chun Ka I won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2012 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.35 for Porto and 0.99 for Tak Chun Ka I. This points to a Porto double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Porto
15%
Draws
41%
Tak Chun Ka I
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Porto picked up more points recently compared to Tak Chun Ka I.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.35 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Porto Clean Sheet 23%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Tak Chun Ka I
Matches Played 32 56
Wins 16 27
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 26
Goals Scored 2.31 2.93
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.91

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2012 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Porto
2:2
Feb 18, 2012 Elite League
Porto vs Tak Chun Ka I
1:2
Jun 9, 2011 Elite League
Porto vs Tak Chun Ka I
5:2
Mar 26, 2011 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Porto
5:2
May 1, 2010 Elite League
Porto vs Tak Chun Ka I
0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto 44 / 100
Tak Chun Ka I 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Tak Chun Ka I

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Porto or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.28
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Porto attacking → ← attacking Tak Chun Ka I

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Tak Chun Ka I let in goals in 77% of their last 56 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Porto went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tak Chun Ka I lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 84
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.50