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Porto Velho vs Galvez

Brazil Brazil

Copa Norte Estadio Aluizio Ferreira de Oliveira, Porto Velho
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Jeferson
10' Event
Tcharlles
53' Event
dos Santos Moreira D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Porto Velho
15%
Draws
20%
Galvez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porto Velho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Porto Velho have won more games recently than Galvez.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Porto Velho taking it.
  • Porto Velho have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Porto Velho, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Porto Velho here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Porto Velho Clean Sheet 18%
Galvez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Velho Galvez
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Serie D
Galvez vs Porto Velho
2:6
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D
Porto Velho vs Galvez
4:0
Mar 29, 2026 Copa Norte
Porto Velho vs Galvez
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto Velho Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeferson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tcharlles
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Galvez Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Velho 85 / 100
Galvez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Velho Galvez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Velho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Velho's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Galvez let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.33 goals when they meet.

Porto Velho went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porto Velho VS Galvez
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto Velho

(Home)
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
28 Jun
Porto Velho
2 : 1
Sao Raimundo RR
21 Jun
Sao Raimundo RR
1 : 1
Porto Velho
14 Jun
Porto Velho
13 : 0
SC Humaita
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Galvez

(Away)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Galvez
2 : 6
Porto Velho
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1
Galvez
16 May
Galvez
4 : 2
SC Humaita
09 May
Guapore
1 : 0
Galvez
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 5 4 1 0 14:1 13
2 Paysandu PA 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
3 Guapore 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
4 Trem 5 2 0 3 11:11 6
5 Independencia Futebol Clube 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
6 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 5 1 0 4 10:15 3
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia De Maraba 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Porto Velho 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
3 Amazonas 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
4 Remo 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
5 Galvez 5 1 0 4 9:17 3
6 Monte Roraima 5 0 2 3 9:15 2
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)