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Porto Vitoria vs Rio Branco ES Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo Estadio Kleber Andrade, Cariacica
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Victor Rangel
58' Event
Henrique Melo
68' Event
Luiz Henrique

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Porto Vitoria
30%
Draws
39%
Rio Branco ES
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio Branco ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Porto Vitoria's 1.44 goals per match outpaces what Rio Branco ES have produced (1.26).
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Rio Branco ES, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Vitoria Rio Branco ES
Matches Played 32 39
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 12
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.44 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Porto Vitoria vs Rio Branco ES
3:0
Feb 28, 2026 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Porto Vitoria
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Rio Branco ES
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Porto Vitoria
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Serie D
Porto Vitoria vs Rio Branco ES
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor Rangel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henrique Melo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rio Branco ES Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Vitoria 41 / 100
Rio Branco ES 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Vitoria Rio Branco ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Vitoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Vitoria's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Rio Branco ES's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 39 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Porto Vitoria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Porto Vitoria VS Rio Branco ES
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto Vitoria

(Home)
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Sport-ES
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
22 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
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Rio Branco ES

(Away)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Vitoria 7 5 1 1 14:5 16
2 Vitoria ES 7 4 1 2 16:8 13
3 Vilavelhense 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
4 Rio Branco-VN 7 4 1 2 6:4 13
5 Rio Branco ES 7 3 2 2 11:7 11
6 Sport-ES 7 2 0 5 3:13 6
7 Serra 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
8 Audax Sao Mateus 7 1 1 5 2:13 4
Promotion - Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs)