Sport Picks

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Porto Vitoria vs Rio Branco-VN

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo Estadio Kleber Andrade, Cariacica
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Emerson Mineiro
43' Event
Emerson Mineiro
45' Event
Gil Mineiro

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Espirito Santo tie, finishing 3-3. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Porto Vitoria
39%
Draws
31%
Rio Branco-VN
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Porto Vitoria have won more games recently than Rio Branco-VN.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Porto Vitoria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Branco-VN Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Vitoria Rio Branco-VN
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Porto Vitoria vs Rio Branco-VN
3:3
Jun 14, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Porto Vitoria
1:0
May 10, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Porto Vitoria
0:1
Jan 29, 2026 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Rio Branco-VN
2:2
Jun 29, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Porto Vitoria
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcudinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luiz Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rio Branco-VN Compare

Top Goalscorer Emerson Mineiro
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gil Mineiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Vitoria 41 / 100
Rio Branco-VN 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Vitoria Rio Branco-VN

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Vitoria found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Rio Branco-VN has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Porto Vitoria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porto Vitoria VS Rio Branco-VN
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto Vitoria

(Home)
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Sport-ES
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
22 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
Page 1 of 7

Rio Branco-VN

(Away)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
31 May
Sport-ES
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vitoria ES3
Vilavelhense2
Porto Vitoria3
Rio Branco-VN4
Final
Vitoria ES0
Rio Branco-VN1