Sport Picks
Porto Vitoria vs Vilavelhense Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Capixaba Estadio Kleber Andrade, Cariacica 
Match Events
11'
11'
Sub
Wesllen Reis In: Thallyson
Out: Wesllen Reis
50'
50'
Taleco
63'
63'
Sub
Henrique Melo In: Matheus Santos
Out: Henrique Melo
AI Match Summary
Porto Vitoria in this Capixaba matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Porto Vitoria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Porto Vitoria lately — more wins on the board than Vilavelhense.
- Porto Vitoria are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Capixaba form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Porto Vitoria here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Vilavelhense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Porto Vitoria | Vilavelhense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Vilavelhense vs Porto Vitoria
1:2
Feb 12, 2026 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Vilavelhense
1:0
Apr 30, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Porto Vitoria vs Vilavelhense
5:0
Feb 17, 2025 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Vilavelhense
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Copa Espirito Santo
Vilavelhense vs Porto Vitoria
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Porto Vitoria Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro Felipe
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Vilavelhense Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Porto Vitoria 77 / 100
Vilavelhense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Porto Vitoria Vilavelhense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Porto Vitoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Porto Vitoria scored in 72% of their last 32 games.
Vilavelhense let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Porto Vitoria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Porto Vitoria VS Vilavelhense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Porto Vitoria
(Home) 20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3 Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0 Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0 Sport-ES
30 May
Serra
1 : 1 Porto Vitoria
22 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0 Audax Sao Mateus
Page 1 of 7
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3 Rio Branco-VN
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0 Sport-ES
22 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0 Audax Sao Mateus
06 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0 Rio Branco ES
29 Apr
Porto Vitoria
1 : 1 Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 4
Vilavelhense
(Away) 23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0 Vilavelhense
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2 Vitoria ES
06 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 0 Audax Sao Mateus
03 Jun
Vilavelhense
1 : 0 Vitoria ES
28 May
Rio Branco ES
1 : 1 Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 6
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0 Vilavelhense
28 May
Rio Branco ES
1 : 1 Vilavelhense
09 May
Serra
2 : 3 Vilavelhense
03 May
Rio Branco-VN
2 : 0 Vilavelhense
15 Mar
Serra
1 : 0 Vilavelhense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria ES | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Serra | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Rio Branco ES | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Porto Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Desportiva Ferroviaria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 7 | Real Noroeste | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Forte | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5:4 | 11 |
| 9 | Capixaba SC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Rio Branco-VN | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8:15 | 5 |
Promotion - Capixaba (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capixaba 2 2027 (Main)
