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Stadium Background

Porto Vitoria vs Vilavelhense

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estadio Kleber Andrade
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Wesllen Reis In: Thallyson
Out: Wesllen Reis
50'
Taleco
63'
Sub
Henrique Melo In: Matheus Santos
Out: Henrique Melo

AI Match Summary

Porto Vitoria in this Capixaba matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Porto Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Porto Vitoria
17%
Draws
13%
Vilavelhense
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Porto Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Porto Vitoria lately — more wins on the board than Vilavelhense.
  • Porto Vitoria are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Capixaba form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Porto Vitoria here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Vilavelhense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Vitoria Vilavelhense
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Vilavelhense vs Porto Vitoria
1:2
Feb 12, 2026 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Vilavelhense
1:0
Apr 30, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Porto Vitoria vs Vilavelhense
5:0
Feb 17, 2025 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Vilavelhense
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Copa Espirito Santo
Vilavelhense vs Porto Vitoria
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Felipe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vilavelhense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Vitoria 77 / 100
Vilavelhense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Vitoria Vilavelhense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Vitoria scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

Vilavelhense let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Porto Vitoria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Porto Vitoria VS Vilavelhense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria ES962114:420
2Serra942310:614
3Vilavelhense94148:1013
4Rio Branco ES934210:613
5Porto Vitoria93427:513
6Desportiva Ferroviaria932410:1111
7Real Noroeste93249:1311
8Forte92525:411
9Capixaba SC93156:1310
10Rio Branco-VN90548:155