Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Porto Vitoria vs Vitoria ES

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo Estadio Kleber Andrade, Cariacica
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Canario
65' Event
Victor Rangel
(Penalty)
90' Event
Carlos Augusto

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Vitoria ES advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Porto Vitoria
6%
Draws
4%
Vitoria ES
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Porto Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vitoria ES carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Porto Vitoria taking it.
  • Vitoria ES arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitoria ES, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Vitoria Vitoria ES
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 13 17
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Porto Vitoria vs Vitoria ES
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Porto Vitoria
1:6
Mar 8, 2026 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Vitoria ES
0:4
Jan 17, 2026 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Porto Vitoria
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Vitoria ES vs Porto Vitoria
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto Vitoria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Vitoria ES Compare

Top Goalscorer Canario
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carlos Augusto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Vitoria 95 / 100
Vitoria ES 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Vitoria Vitoria ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Porto Vitoria scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Vitoria ES has conceded goals in 67% of their last 36 outings.

Recent resilience: Porto Vitoria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porto Vitoria VS Vitoria ES
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
83% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto Vitoria

(Home)
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Sport-ES
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
22 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
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Vitoria ES

(Away)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
27 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 0
Vitoria ES
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
20 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Betim FC
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Porto Vitoria751114:516
2Vitoria ES741216:813
3Vilavelhense741210:813
4Rio Branco-VN74126:413
5Rio Branco ES732211:711
6Sport-ES72053:136
7Serra71156:104
8Audax Sao Mateus71152:134
Promotion - Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs)