Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C

Bassano Virtus

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portogruaro play Bassano Virtus in the Serie D - Group C. Bassano Virtus are favorites here. Recently, Portogruaro averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Bassano Virtus averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. In past meetings, Portogruaro won 1, Bassano Virtus won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 2, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for Portogruaro and 2.38 for Bassano Virtus. This points to a Bassano Virtus double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%

Portogruaro

34%

Draws

56%

Bassano Virtus

Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Bassano Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Portogruaro picked up more points recently compared to Bassano Virtus.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.76 vs 2.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Portogruaro Clean Sheet 10%

Bassano Virtus Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portogruaro	Bassano Virtus
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	1	11
Draws	5	14
Losses	24	5
Goals Scored	0.7	1.2
Goals Conceded	2.5	0.7
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group C

Portogruaro vs Bassano Virtus

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

1:4

Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C

Bassano Virtus vs Portogruaro

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Mar 22, 2025 Serie D - Group C

Portogruaro vs Bassano Virtus

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group C

Bassano Virtus vs Portogruaro

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group C

Portogruaro vs Bassano Virtus

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portogruaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Bortolussi F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Bassano Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Fasolo G.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Chinellato M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portogruaro 11 / 100

Bassano Virtus 54 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portogruaro Bassano Virtus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bassano Virtus Win (2)

Secondary Pick Bassano Virtus & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +400%

50.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portogruaro attacking → ← attacking Bassano Virtus

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portogruaro scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Bassano Virtus let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Portogruaro went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Bassano Virtus lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 47

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Treviso	34	21	6	7	50:25	69
2	Legnago Salus	34	18	7	9	63:41	61
3	Clodiense	34	17	9	8	47:29	60
4	Este	34	14	13	7	40:29	55
5	Mestre	34	14	13	7	37:29	55
6	Cjarlins Muzane	34	13	12	9	41:39	51
7	Brian Lignano	34	16	8	10	58:34	50
8	Conegliano	34	13	11	10	36:28	50
9	Bassano Virtus	34	12	14	8	37:27	50
10	Campodarsego	34	13	9	12	37:34	48
11	Altavilla	34	10	16	8	28:24	46
12	Calvi Noale	34	13	5	16	38:40	44
13	Luparense FC	34	10	13	11	36:39	43
14	Vigasio	34	8	14	12	44:46	38
15	San Luigi	34	8	10	16	33:54	34
16	FC Obermais	34	8	10	16	33:46	34
17	Adriese	34	5	6	23	24:62	18
18	Portogruaro	34	1	8	25	25:81	11