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Portonovo SD vs Alondras

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 game between Portonovo SD and Alondras finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alondras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Portonovo SD
6%
Draws
90%
Alondras
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alondras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alondras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alondras's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 17%
Alondras Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portonovo SD Alondras
Matches Played 30 46
Wins 4 14
Draws 6 15
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Portonovo SD
4:0
Nov 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Alondras
1:1
Feb 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Alondras
1:2
Sep 21, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Portonovo SD
0:1
Mar 19, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Portonovo SD
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portonovo SD 10 / 100
Alondras 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portonovo SD Alondras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alondras has conceded goals in 70% of their last 46 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Portonovo SD scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Alondras lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alondras
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portonovo SD

(Home)
15 May
Portonovo SD
0 : 3
Cerceda
08 May
SD Negreira
6 : 1
Portonovo SD
01 May
Portonovo SD
1 : 2
SD Ordenes
21 Apr
Alondras
4 : 0
Portonovo SD
17 Apr
Portonovo SD
1 : 2
Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6

Alondras

(Away)
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Gran Pena
0 : 2
Alondras
12 Apr
Alondras
1 : 1
Silva SD
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Compostela382510370:2685
2Montaneros382210668:4176
3CD Ourense382251174:4071
4Cerceda381971266:4764
5Naron3816101267:5558
6Lalin3813141136:3753
7Coruxo FC3814111348:3953
8Santa Comba3812141242:4750
9SD Negreira381481642:5250
10Alondras3812141248:4550
11Somozas3812101646:5946
12Celtiga3811121534:4645
13SD Ordenes3810151336:3545
14Verin CF3811121545:5845
15Rapido de Bouzas3811111638:5444
16Villalonga3811111649:5344
17Pontevedra B3811101736:4843
18Portonovo SD388151536:5139
19Arosa SC388111961:8335
20Gran Pena388102029:5534
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)