Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009

Portonovo SD

4 - 2

Gran Pena

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portonovo SD in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portonovo SD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Portonovo SD

Draws

90%

Gran Pena

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gran Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Gran Pena have won more games recently than Portonovo SD.
Model gives Gran Pena a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 19%

Gran Pena Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portonovo SD	Gran Pena
Matches Played	30	35
Wins	4	16
Draws	6	11
Losses	20	8
Goals Scored	0	1.5
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Portonovo SD vs Gran Pena

4:2

Jan 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Gran Pena vs Portonovo SD

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portonovo SD 10 / 100

Gran Pena 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portonovo SD Gran Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Gran Pena has conceded goals in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Portonovo SD scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Gran Pena has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gran Pena

0 Goals Scored 1.5

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portonovo SD

(Home)

15 May

Portonovo SD

0 : 3

Cerceda

08 May

SD Negreira

6 : 1

Portonovo SD

01 May

Portonovo SD

1 : 2

SD Ordenes

21 Apr

Alondras

4 : 0

Portonovo SD

17 Apr

Portonovo SD

1 : 2

Bergantinos

Page 1 of 6

Gran Pena

(Away)

10 May

Noia

1 : 5

Gran Pena

03 May

Gran Pena

4 : 1

Racing Club Villalbes

26 Apr

Barbadas-Bentraces

0 : 4

Gran Pena

19 Apr

Gran Pena

0 : 2

Alondras

11 Apr

Lugo B

0 : 0

Gran Pena

Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Compostela	38	25	10	3	70:26	85
2	Montaneros	38	22	10	6	68:41	76
3	CD Ourense	38	22	5	11	74:40	71
4	Cerceda	38	19	7	12	66:47	64
5	Naron	38	16	10	12	67:55	58
6	Lalin	38	13	14	11	36:37	53
7	Coruxo FC	38	14	11	13	48:39	53
8	Santa Comba	38	12	14	12	42:47	50
9	SD Negreira	38	14	8	16	42:52	50
10	Alondras	38	12	14	12	48:45	50
11	Somozas	38	12	10	16	46:59	46
12	Celtiga	38	11	12	15	34:46	45
13	SD Ordenes	38	10	15	13	36:35	45
14	Verin CF	38	11	12	15	45:58	45
15	Rapido de Bouzas	38	11	11	16	38:54	44
16	Villalonga	38	11	11	16	49:53	44
17	Pontevedra B	38	11	10	17	36:48	43
18	Portonovo SD	38	8	15	15	36:51	39
19	Arosa SC	38	8	11	19	61:83	35
20	Gran Pena	38	8	10	20	29:55	34

Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)

Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)