Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portonovo SD vs Gran Pena

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portonovo SD in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portonovo SD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Portonovo SD
20%
Draws
40%
Gran Pena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gran Pena have won more games recently than Portonovo SD.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 16%
Gran Pena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portonovo SD Gran Pena
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.73 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.45 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Gran Pena
4:2
Jan 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Portonovo SD
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portonovo SD 31 / 100
Gran Pena 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portonovo SD Gran Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gran Pena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gran Pena has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Portonovo SD went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Portonovo SD found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Portonovo SD VS Gran Pena
1.4 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
60% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Portonovo SD

(Home)
27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2
Silva SD
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
15 May
Portonovo SD
0 : 3
Cerceda
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Gran Pena

(Away)
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2
Gran Pena
20 Sept
Gran Pena
0 : 0
Antela
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2
Gran Pena
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Lalin
10 May
Noia
1 : 5
Gran Pena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Compostela 38 25 10 3 70:26 85
2 Montaneros 38 22 10 6 68:41 76
3 CD Ourense 38 22 5 11 74:40 71
4 Cerceda 38 19 7 12 66:47 64
5 Naron 38 16 10 12 67:55 58
6 Lalin 38 13 14 11 36:37 53
7 Coruxo FC 38 14 11 13 48:39 53
8 Santa Comba 38 12 14 12 42:47 50
9 SD Negreira 38 14 8 16 42:52 50
10 Alondras 38 12 14 12 48:45 50
11 Somozas 38 12 10 16 46:59 46
12 Celtiga 38 11 12 15 34:46 45
13 SD Ordenes 38 10 15 13 36:35 45
14 Verin CF 38 11 12 15 45:58 45
15 Rapido de Bouzas 38 11 11 16 38:54 44
16 Villalonga 38 11 11 16 49:53 44
17 Pontevedra B 38 11 10 17 36:48 43
18 Portonovo SD 38 8 15 15 36:51 39
19 Arosa SC 38 8 11 19 61:83 35
20 Gran Pena 38 8 10 20 29:55 34
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)