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Portonovo SD vs Naron Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 game between Portonovo SD and Naron finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portonovo SD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Portonovo SD
20%
Draws
10%
Naron
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portonovo SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Naron's 0.97 goals per match outpaces what Portonovo SD have produced (0.76).
  • Portonovo SD are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 20%
Naron Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portonovo SD Naron
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.76 0.97
Goals Conceded 2 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.76 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Naron
0:5
Sep 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Portonovo SD
0:1
Mar 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Naron
2:1
Nov 1, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Portonovo SD
1:1
Feb 9, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Portonovo SD
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portonovo SD 85 / 100
Naron 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portonovo SD Naron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portonovo SD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naron's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Portonovo SD stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Naron's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portonovo SD VS Naron
1.4 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
60% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portonovo SD

(Home)
27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2
Silva SD
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
15 May
Portonovo SD
0 : 3
Cerceda
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Naron

(Away)
19 May
Rapido de Bouzas
4 : 1
Naron
12 May
Naron
3 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
05 May
Betanzos CF
2 : 1
Naron
28 Apr
Naron
1 : 3
Villalonga
21 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
5 : 0
Naron
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Compostela 38 25 10 3 70:26 85
2 Montaneros 38 22 10 6 68:41 76
3 CD Ourense 38 22 5 11 74:40 71
4 Cerceda 38 19 7 12 66:47 64
5 Naron 38 16 10 12 67:55 58
6 Lalin 38 13 14 11 36:37 53
7 Coruxo FC 38 14 11 13 48:39 53
8 Santa Comba 38 12 14 12 42:47 50
9 SD Negreira 38 14 8 16 42:52 50
10 Alondras 38 12 14 12 48:45 50
11 Somozas 38 12 10 16 46:59 46
12 Celtiga 38 11 12 15 34:46 45
13 SD Ordenes 38 10 15 13 36:35 45
14 Verin CF 38 11 12 15 45:58 45
15 Rapido de Bouzas 38 11 11 16 38:54 44
16 Villalonga 38 11 11 16 49:53 44
17 Pontevedra B 38 11 10 17 36:48 43
18 Portonovo SD 38 8 15 15 36:51 39
19 Arosa SC 38 8 11 19 61:83 35
20 Gran Pena 38 8 10 20 29:55 34
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)