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Portonovo SD vs Naron

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 game between Portonovo SD and Naron finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portonovo SD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Portonovo SD
11%
Draws
80%
Naron
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Naron

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Naron carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Naron are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 20%
Naron Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portonovo SD Naron
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Naron
0:5
Sep 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Portonovo SD
0:1
Mar 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Naron
2:1
Nov 1, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Portonovo SD
1:1
Feb 9, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Portonovo SD
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portonovo SD 12 / 100
Naron 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portonovo SD Naron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naron's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Naron's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Portonovo SD's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Naron
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portonovo SD

(Home)
15 May
Portonovo SD
0 : 3
Cerceda
08 May
SD Negreira
6 : 1
Portonovo SD
01 May
Portonovo SD
1 : 2
SD Ordenes
21 Apr
Alondras
4 : 0
Portonovo SD
17 Apr
Portonovo SD
1 : 2
Bergantinos
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Naron

(Away)
19 May
Rapido de Bouzas
4 : 1
Naron
12 May
Naron
3 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
05 May
Betanzos CF
2 : 1
Naron
28 Apr
Naron
1 : 3
Villalonga
21 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
5 : 0
Naron
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Compostela382510370:2685
2Montaneros382210668:4176
3CD Ourense382251174:4071
4Cerceda381971266:4764
5Naron3816101267:5558
6Lalin3813141136:3753
7Coruxo FC3814111348:3953
8Santa Comba3812141242:4750
9SD Negreira381481642:5250
10Alondras3812141248:4550
11Somozas3812101646:5946
12Celtiga3811121534:4645
13SD Ordenes3810151336:3545
14Verin CF3811121545:5845
15Rapido de Bouzas3811111638:5444
16Villalonga3811111649:5344
17Pontevedra B3811101736:4843
18Portonovo SD388151536:5139
19Arosa SC388111961:8335
20Gran Pena388102029:5534
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)