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Ports Authority vs Bai Bureh Warriors

Sierra Leone Sierra Leone

Premier League National Stadium, Freetown
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ports Authority and Bai Bureh Warriors finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ports Authority
44%
Draws
20%
Bai Bureh Warriors
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Bai Bureh Warriors's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Ports Authority have produced (1).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ports Authority Clean Sheet 21%
Bai Bureh Warriors Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ports Authority Bai Bureh Warriors
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 14
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Premier League
Bai Bureh Warriors vs Ports Authority
1:0
Feb 2, 2026 Premier League
Ports Authority vs Bai Bureh Warriors
1:1
Jul 6, 2025 Premier League
Ports Authority vs Bai Bureh Warriors
4:1
Mar 16, 2025 Premier League
Bai Bureh Warriors vs Ports Authority
3:1
Jun 7, 2024 Premier League
Ports Authority vs Bai Bureh Warriors
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ports Authority 37 / 100
Bai Bureh Warriors 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ports Authority Bai Bureh Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BBW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ports Authority's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Ports Authority went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bai Bureh Warriors let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ports Authority VS Bai Bureh Warriors
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ports Authority

(Home)
15 Jul
Freetown City (FCFC)
0 : 0
Ports Authority
06 Jul
Ports Authority
1 : 1
Wilberforce Strikers
26 Jun
Star Sport Academy
3 : 1
Ports Authority
17 Jun
Bai Bureh Warriors
1 : 0
Ports Authority
12 Jun
Ports Authority
2 : 1
Old Edwardians
Page 1 of 6

Bai Bureh Warriors

(Away)
18 Jul
Bai Bureh Warriors
2 : 3
Diamond Stars
07 Jul
SLIFA
0 : 2
Bai Bureh Warriors
27 Jun
Bai Bureh Warriors
0 : 0
Wusum Stars
17 Jun
Bai Bureh Warriors
1 : 0
Ports Authority
14 Jun
Luawa
0 : 1
Bai Bureh Warriors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bo Rangers341713439:2064
2Star Sport Academy341613545:2261
3Bai Bureh Warriors341415540:2057
4East End Lions341314752:3653
5Old Edwardians341314739:2353
6Ports Authority341213935:3049
7Kamboi Eagles341361534:3845
8Bhantal34916940:2943
9Wilberforce Strikers34916927:3043
10Kallon341271538:5243
11Diamond Stars341191434:3942
12Bullom Stars341261630:4442
13Mighty Blackpool3410111328:3741
14Wusum Stars341181524:3641
15Abacha City349121331:3839
16SLIFA349111436:4138
17Luawa34891722:4233
18Freetown City (FCFC)346111730:4729
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)