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Portsmouth vs Millwall - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portsmouth host Millwall in the Championship. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Portsmouth have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Millwall's 1.23 scored and 1.07 conceded. Past meetings favor Millwall slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.25, favoring Millwall. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Portsmouth
35%
Draws
25%
Millwall
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portsmouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Millwall lately — more wins on the board than Portsmouth.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Portsmouth taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Portsmouth Clean Sheet 19%
Millwall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portsmouth Millwall
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Championship
Millwall vs Portsmouth
1:3
Nov 22, 2025 Championship
Portsmouth vs Millwall
3:1
Apr 5, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Portsmouth
2:1
Jan 28, 2025 Championship
Portsmouth vs Millwall
0:1
Aug 13, 2024 EFL Cup
Portsmouth vs Millwall
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portsmouth 40 / 100
Millwall 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portsmouth Millwall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portsmouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portsmouth scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Millwall's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Portsmouth has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portsmouth VS Millwall
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Portsmouth

(Home)
14 Oct
Portsmouth
3 : 2
Sheffield Utd
11 Oct
Southampton
1 : 0
Portsmouth
19 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 2
Blackburn
12 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
Portsmouth
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0
Cardiff
Page 1 of 6

Millwall

(Away)
13 Oct
Millwall
0 : 1
Swansea
10 Oct
Preston
0 : 1
Millwall
19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2
West Ham
15 Sept
Middlesbrough
2 : 2
Millwall
12 Sept
Blackburn
3 : 1
Millwall
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 7 2 1 16:7 23
2 Middlesbrough 10 6 3 1 20:14 21
3 West Ham 10 5 4 1 29:12 19
4 Birmingham 10 4 5 1 17:11 17
5 QPR 10 4 5 1 15:9 17
6 West Brom 10 5 2 3 12:10 17
7 Southampton 10 6 2 2 21:10 16
8 Stoke City 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
9 Blackburn 10 4 3 3 15:13 15
10 Wolves 9 4 2 3 16:14 14
11 Millwall 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
12 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
13 Charlton 10 3 5 2 10:13 14
14 Bolton 10 4 1 5 15:18 13
15 Sheffield Utd 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
16 Portsmouth 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
17 Wrexham 10 2 5 3 11:15 11
18 Lincoln City 10 3 2 5 7:17 11
19 Cardiff 10 2 4 4 16:15 10
20 Norwich 10 3 0 7 17:20 9
21 Burnley 10 1 5 4 15:19 8
22 Watford 10 2 2 6 8:19 8
23 Derby 10 1 3 6 9:19 6
24 Preston 10 1 1 8 8:20 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)