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Stadium Background

Portsmouth vs QPR Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Championship Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Devlin T.
Assist: Adams E.
20'
Sub
Kemper B. In: Adamson K.
Out: Kemper B.
25'
Edwards R.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Portsmouth and QPR finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward QPR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Portsmouth
35%
Draws
35%
QPR
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and QPR come out ahead of Portsmouth on wins alone.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Portsmouth Clean Sheet 68%
QPR Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portsmouth QPR
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Championship
Portsmouth vs QPR
1:3
Mar 21, 2026 Championship
QPR vs Portsmouth
6:1
Dec 26, 2025 Championship
Portsmouth vs QPR
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Championship
Portsmouth vs QPR
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Championship
QPR vs Portsmouth
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portsmouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Devlin T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

QPR Compare

Top Goalscorer Chair I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saito K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portsmouth 41 / 100
QPR 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portsmouth QPR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portsmouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portsmouth scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Defensive concern: QPR conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Portsmouth remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portsmouth VS QPR
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portsmouth

(Home)
19 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 2
Blackburn
12 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
Portsmouth
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0
Cardiff
01 Sept
Portsmouth
0 : 2
Derby
29 Aug
Bristol City
2 : 1
Portsmouth
Page 1 of 6

QPR

(Away)
19 Sept
QPR
2 : 2
Preston
12 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1
QPR
09 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
QPR
05 Sept
QPR
0 : 1
Middlesbrough
02 Sept
QPR
2 : 1
Cardiff
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 8 4 3 1 22:11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
5 West Brom 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
6 QPR 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 16:17 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)