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Portugal U16 vs Italy U16 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Municipal de Vendas Novas, Vendas Novas
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Paonessa R.
(Penalty)
86' Event
Tavares L.
90'
Vasco D.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Portugal U16 and Italy U16 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugal U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Portugal U16
15%
Draws
49%
Italy U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Portugal U16 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Portugal U16's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Portugal U16 Clean Sheet 16%
Italy U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U16 Italy U16
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 Friendly International
Portugal U16 vs Italy U16
0:1
Dec 19, 2024 Friendly International
Portugal U16 vs Italy U16
2:1
Dec 17, 2024 Friendly International
Portugal U16 vs Italy U16
1:1
May 9, 2023 Friendly International
Portugal U16 vs Italy U16
3:2
Feb 5, 2012 Friendly International
Portugal U16 vs Italy U16
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavares L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Italy U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U16 39 / 100
Italy U16 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U16 Italy U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U16 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Italy U16 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Portugal U16 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U16 VS Italy U16
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U16

(Home)
03 Jun
Portugal U16
0 : 1
Italy U16
31 May
Portugal U16
4 : 2
South Korea U16
29 May
Portugal U16
2 : 1
Norway U16
21 Apr
France U16
5 : 1
Portugal U16
19 Apr
Portugal U16
3 : 1
England U16
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Italy U16

(Away)
03 Jun
Portugal U16
0 : 1
Italy U16
31 May
Norway U16
1 : 2
Italy U16
29 May
Italy U16
3 : 2
South Korea U16
10 Apr
Czech Republic U16
0 : 2
Italy U16
08 Apr
Czech Republic U16
3 : 0
Italy U16
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