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Stadium Background

Portugal U16 vs Italy U16

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Municipal de Vendas Novas
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portugal U16 play Italy U16 in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portugal U16 averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Italy U16 averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Portugal U16 won 3, Italy U16 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 3, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Portugal U16 and 1.44 for Italy U16. This points to a Portugal U16 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Portugal U16
15%
Draws
36%
Italy U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portugal U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Portugal U16 picked up more points recently compared to Italy U16.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Portugal U16 Clean Sheet 16%
Italy U16 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U16 Italy U16
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 Friendly International
Portugal U16 vs Italy U16
0:1
Dec 19, 2024 Friendly International
Portugal U16 vs Italy U16
2:1
Dec 17, 2024 Friendly International
Portugal U16 vs Italy U16
1:1
May 9, 2023 Friendly International
Portugal U16 vs Italy U16
3:2
Feb 5, 2012 Friendly International
Portugal U16 vs Italy U16
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunes B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Italy U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Corigliano T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U16 47 / 100
Italy U16 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U16 Italy U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Portugal U16 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portugal U16 attacking → ← attacking Italy U16

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U16 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Italy U16 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Portugal U16 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Italy U16 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 39
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75