Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portugal U16 vs Japan U16

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Rikuto S. In: Kumada Y.
Out: Rikuto S.
62'
Sub
Takahashi N. In: Arata S.
Out: Takahashi N.
62'
Sub
Iuchi Y. In: Semba S.
Out: Iuchi Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Portugal U16
39%
Draws
31%
Japan U16
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Japan U16 haven't matched Portugal U16's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Portugal U16 Clean Sheet 15%
Japan U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U16 Japan U16
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Friendly International
Portugal U16 vs Japan U16
3:1
Feb 15, 2025 Friendly International
Portugal U16 vs Japan U16
1:1
Feb 14, 2024 Friendly International
Portugal U16 vs Japan U16
2:1
Apr 2, 2023 Friendly International
Portugal U16 vs Japan U16
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Belov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Japan U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tatsuno K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U16 30 / 100
Japan U16 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U16 Japan U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U16 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Japan U16 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Portugal U16 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U16 VS Japan U16
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%