Sport Picks

World

Friendly International Women 2024

Kenya U17 W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portugal U17 W play Kenya U17 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portugal U17 W averaged 2.19 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Kenya U17 W averaged 1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Portugal U17 W won 0, Kenya U17 W won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 30, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.52 for Portugal U17 W and 1.52 for Kenya U17 W. This points to a Portugal U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Portugal U17 W

16%

Draws

33%

Kenya U17 W

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Portugal U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Portugal U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Kenya U17 W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.52 vs 1.52 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Portugal U17 W Clean Sheet 15%

Kenya U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portugal U17 W	Kenya U17 W
Matches Played	31	6
Wins	19	2
Draws	4	2
Losses	8	2
Goals Scored	2.19	1
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2024 Friendly International Women

Portugal U17 W vs Kenya U17 W

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Sep 27, 2024 Friendly International Women

Portugal U17 W vs Kenya U17 W

Possession: 40% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Kenya U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogola J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.52

Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U17 W 49 / 100

Kenya U17 W 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portugal U17 W Kenya U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Portugal U17 W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portugal U17 W attacking → ← attacking Kenya U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U17 W scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Kenya U17 W let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Portugal U17 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kenya U17 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 8

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.67

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.67