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Portugal U17 W vs Mexico U17 W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Fri, Sep 27, 2024
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portugal U17 W host Mexico U17 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Mexico U17 W have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Portugal U17 W have conceded 1.26 and scored 2.11. Past meetings favor Portugal U17 W slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 30, 2024, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.44) point toward Portugal U17 W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Portugal U17 W
30%
Draws
37%
Mexico U17 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mexico U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Portugal U17 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mexico U17 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Portugal U17 W Clean Sheet 16%
Mexico U17 W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U17 W Mexico U17 W
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.11 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.26 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2024 Friendly International Women
Portugal U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
3:1
Sep 27, 2024 Friendly International Women
Portugal U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U17 W 10 / 100
Mexico U17 W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U17 W Mexico U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U17 W's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Mexico U17 W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Portugal U17 W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U17 W VS Mexico U17 W
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U17 W

(Home)
07 Mar
Portugal U17 W
0 : 0
Spain U17 W
04 Mar
Portugal U17 W
3 : 0
Kosovo U17 W
01 Mar
Hungary U17 W
0 : 1
Portugal U17 W
27 Jan
Portugal U17 W
1 : 0
Japan U17 W
24 Jan
Portugal U17 W
1 : 2
Czech Republic U17 W
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Mexico U17 W

(Away)
16 Aug
Canada U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
13 Aug
USA U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
22 Mar
Mexico U17 W
2 : 0
Costa Rica U17 W
19 Mar
Panama U17 W
1 : 6
Mexico U17 W
17 Mar
Mexico U17 W
9 : 0
Jamaica U17 W
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