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Portugal U18 vs Japan U18

World World

Friendly International 2025 Colovray Sports Centre
Sun, Jun 1, 2025
1 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Goncalves F.
(Penalty)
64' Event
Nakayama S.
1' Event
Nakatsumi N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Portugal U18 and Japan U18 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Portugal U18
6%
Draws
4%
Japan U18
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portugal U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Japan U18 haven't matched Portugal U18's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Portugal U18's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Portugal U18 Clean Sheet 16%
Japan U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U18 Japan U18
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 23 15
Draws 7 2
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2025 Friendly International
Japan U18 vs Portugal U18
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs Japan U18
1:2
Nov 16, 2024 Friendly International
Japan U18 vs Portugal U18
1:3
Sep 6, 2023 Friendly International
Japan U18 vs Portugal U18
1:3
Jun 9, 2019 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs Japan U18
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Japan U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakayama S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U18 84 / 100
Japan U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U18 Japan U18

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U18 found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (36 games).

Solid form: Portugal U18 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Japan U18 let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U18 VS Japan U18
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%