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Portugal U18 W vs Finland U18 W

World World

Friendly International Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portugal U18 W play Finland U18 W in the Friendly International Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portugal U18 W averaged 1.61 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Finland U18 W averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. In past meetings, Portugal U18 W won 0, Finland U18 W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 7, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Portugal U18 W and 1.44 for Finland U18 W. This points to a Finland U18 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Portugal U18 W
21%
Draws
51%
Finland U18 W
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Finland U18 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Portugal U18 W picked up more points recently compared to Finland U18 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Portugal U18 W Clean Sheet 16%
Finland U18 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U18 W Finland U18 W
Matches Played 18 10
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 0
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 1.61 2.4
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Friendly International Women
Portugal U18 W vs Finland U18 W
0:1
Jun 4, 2026 Friendly International Women
Portugal U18 W vs Finland U18 W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U18 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Finland U18 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pettinen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U18 W 28 / 100
Finland U18 W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U18 W Finland U18 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Finland U18 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portugal U18 W attacking → ← attacking Finland U18 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U18 W scored in 78% of their last 18 games.

Finland U18 W let in goals in 50% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Portugal U18 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Finland U18 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 24
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50