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Portugal U19 vs Sweden U19

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Felicissimo E.
55' Event
Silva G.

AI Match Summary

Portugal U19 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugal U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Portugal U19
35%
Draws
39%
Sweden U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sweden U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Portugal U19 have won more games recently than Sweden U19.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Portugal U19 Clean Sheet 12%
Sweden U19 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U19 Sweden U19
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 Friendly International
Portugal U19 vs Sweden U19
2:0
Mar 22, 2023 Euro U19
Portugal U19 vs Sweden U19
1:0
Jul 8, 2017 Euro U19
Portugal U19 vs Sweden U19
2:2
Mar 24, 2016 Euro U19
Portugal U19 vs Sweden U19
4:0
Feb 4, 2013 Friendly International
Sweden U19 vs Portugal U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Felicissimo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sweden U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U19 30 / 100
Sweden U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U19 Sweden U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U19's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sweden U19 let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Portugal U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U19 VS Sweden U19
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U19

(Home)
09 Jun
Serbia U19
0 : 1
Portugal U19
06 Jun
Portugal U19
0 : 0
Greece U19
03 Jun
Portugal U19
1 : 1
Kazakhstan U19
31 Mar
Portugal U19
0 : 6
England U19
28 Mar
Portugal U19
1 : 1
Serbia U19
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Sweden U19

(Away)
27 Sept
Sweden U19
2 : 2
Finland U19
24 Sept
Sweden U19
2 : 1
Ukraine U19
31 Mar
Sweden U19
2 : 2
Greece U19
31 Mar
Cyprus U19
1 : 3
Sweden U19
28 Mar
Belgium U19
3 : 3
Sweden U19
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