Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portugal U21 vs Northern Ireland U21

World World

Friendly International Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Sa G.
(Penalty)
24'
Moreira A.
35' Event
Quenda G.

AI Match Summary

Portugal U21 in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugal U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Portugal U21
6%
Draws
4%
Northern Ireland U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portugal U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Portugal U21 have won more games recently than Northern Ireland U21.
  • Portugal U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Northern Ireland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U21 Northern Ireland U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 3.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Friendly International
Portugal U21 vs Northern Ireland U21
4:0
Aug 11, 2009 Friendly International
Portugal U21 vs Northern Ireland U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Quenda G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

Northern Ireland U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U21 95 / 100
Northern Ireland U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U21 Northern Ireland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U21 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Portugal U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Northern Ireland U21 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U21 VS Northern Ireland U21
3.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U21

(Home)
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
18 Nov
Czech Republic U21
0 : 0
Portugal U21
14 Oct
Gibraltar U21
0 : 11
Portugal U21
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Northern Ireland U21

(Away)
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Latvia U21
1 : 3
Northern Ireland U21
27 Mar
Germany U21
3 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
18 Nov
Greece U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
13 Nov
Northern Ireland U21
1 : 0
Latvia U21
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