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Portugal U21 vs Ukraine U21

World World

Friendly International 2024 FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Batagov A.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Rodrigues R.
38' Event
Fernandes M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Portugal U21 and Ukraine U21 finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Portugal U21
20%
Draws
19%
Ukraine U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portugal U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Portugal U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Portugal U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Ukraine U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U21 Ukraine U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.93 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 Friendly International
Portugal U21 vs Ukraine U21
3:3
Oct 15, 2012 Friendly International
Portugal U21 vs Ukraine U21
0:1
Feb 29, 2012 Friendly International
Portugal U21 vs Ukraine U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Ukraine U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Batagov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U21 85 / 100
Ukraine U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U21 Ukraine U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U21 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Portugal U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ukraine U21 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U21 VS Ukraine U21
4 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U21

(Home)
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
18 Nov
Czech Republic U21
0 : 0
Portugal U21
14 Oct
Gibraltar U21
0 : 11
Portugal U21
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Ukraine U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
Hungary U21
1 : 2
Ukraine U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
17 Nov
Albania U21
2 : 0
Ukraine U21
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