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Portugal U23 W vs Belgium U23 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portugal U23 W host Belgium U23 W in the Friendly International Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Portugal U23 W have averaged 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded recently, against Belgium U23 W's 0.86 scored and 1.83 conceded. Past meetings favor Portugal U23 W slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 16, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.00) back Belgium U23 W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Portugal U23 W
15%
Draws
0%
Belgium U23 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portugal U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belgium U23 W come out ahead of Portugal U23 W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Portugal U23 W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Portugal U23 W Clean Sheet 20%
Belgium U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U23 W Belgium U23 W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.7 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs Portugal U23 W
0:1
Dec 4, 2023 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs Portugal U23 W
2:2
Feb 16, 2023 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs Portugal U23 W
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U23 W 49 / 100
Belgium U23 W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U23 W Belgium U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U23 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Belgium U23 W conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Belgium U23 W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Portugal U23 W found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Portugal U23 W VS Belgium U23 W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U23 W

(Home)
08 Oct
Norway U23 W
3 : 0
Portugal U23 W
16 Apr
Belgium U23 W
0 : 1
Portugal U23 W
12 Apr
Portugal U23 W
1 : 2
Italy U23 W
05 Mar
Portugal U23 W
1 : 0
Czech Republic U23 W
02 Mar
Portugal U23 W
1 : 3
Italy U23 W
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Belgium U23 W

(Away)
08 Oct
Belgium U23 W
1 : 2
Italy U23 W
16 Apr
Belgium U23 W
0 : 1
Portugal U23 W
12 Apr
Germany U23 W
2 : 1
Belgium U23 W
06 Mar
Germany U23 W
4 : 2
Belgium U23 W
02 Mar
Belgium U23 W
1 : 3
Sweden U23 W
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