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Portugal U23 W vs Finland U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Pintassilgo L. In: Perruca L.
Out: Pintassilgo L.
26' Event
Seiro E.
46'
Sub
Karjalainen R. In: Hellman V.
Out: Karjalainen R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Portugal U23 W
30%
Draws
34%
Finland U23 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portugal U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Finland U23 W lately — more wins on the board than Portugal U23 W.
  • Model gives Portugal U23 W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Portugal U23 W Clean Sheet 12%
Finland U23 W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U23 W Finland U23 W
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2025 Friendly International Women
Portugal U23 W vs Finland U23 W
1:1
Apr 4, 2024 Friendly International Women
Portugal U23 W vs Finland U23 W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Alagoa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Finland U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Seiro E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U23 W 35 / 100
Finland U23 W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U23 W Finland U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland U23 W let in goals in 70% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Portugal U23 W's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Portugal U23 W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U23 W VS Finland U23 W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%