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Portugal U23 W vs Spain U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Vilamala B.
(Penalty)
56'
Sub
Nevado N. In: Bernabe A.
Out: Nevado N.
56'
Sub
Julve E. In: Elexpuru A.
Out: Julve E.

AI Match Summary

Spain U23 W in this Friendly International Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Portugal U23 W
39%
Draws
30%
Spain U23 W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spain U23 W lately — more wins on the board than Portugal U23 W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Portugal U23 W Clean Sheet 11%
Spain U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U23 W Spain U23 W
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2023 Friendly International Women
Portugal U23 W vs Spain U23 W
0:3
Oct 10, 2022 Friendly International Women
Spain U23 W vs Portugal U23 W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U23 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Spain U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tejada Jimenez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pardo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U23 W 30 / 100
Spain U23 W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U23 W Spain U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U23 W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 25 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Portugal U23 W's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Portugal U23 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U23 W VS Spain U23 W
1 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U23 W

(Home)
16 Apr
Belgium U23 W
0 : 1
Portugal U23 W
12 Apr
Portugal U23 W
1 : 2
Italy U23 W
05 Mar
Portugal U23 W
1 : 0
Czech Republic U23 W
02 Mar
Portugal U23 W
1 : 3
Italy U23 W
01 Dec
Norway U23 W
1 : 0
Portugal U23 W
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Spain U23 W

(Away)
29 May
Spain U23 W
2 : 3
Sweden U23 W
06 Apr
Spain U23 W
3 : 4
Sweden U23 W
03 Apr
Spain U23 W
2 : 1
England U23 W
25 Feb
Spain U23 W
3 : 0
Denmark U23 W
20 Feb
Spain U23 W
1 : 0
Belgium U23 W
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