Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portugal W vs Northern Ireland W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women Estádio Municipal de Portimão, Portimão
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Portugal W at 1.71 goals for, 1.75 against; Northern Ireland W at 1.21 for, 1.64 against. Head-to-head, Portugal W have won 4 to Northern Ireland W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2026, ending 0:4. xG projections (1.81 - 1.38) back Portugal W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Portugal W
15%
Draws
28%
Northern Ireland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portugal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Portugal W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Portugal W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Portugal W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Portugal W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Portugal W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Portugal W Clean Sheet 17%
Northern Ireland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal W Northern Ireland W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.71 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 World Cup Women
Northern Ireland W vs Portugal W
0:4
Jun 4, 2024 Euro Women
Northern Ireland W vs Portugal W
1:2
May 31, 2024 Euro Women
Portugal W vs Northern Ireland W
4:0
Jan 19, 2017 Friendly International Women
Portugal W vs Northern Ireland W
0:1
Jan 17, 2017 Friendly International Women
Portugal W vs Northern Ireland W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal W 48 / 100
Northern Ireland W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal W Northern Ireland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portugal W scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Northern Ireland W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Portugal W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portugal W VS Northern Ireland W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal W

(Home)
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1
Portugal W
05 Jun
Portugal W
5 : 0
Latvia W
18 Apr
Slovakia W
1 : 2
Portugal W
14 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 3
Portugal W
07 Mar
Portugal W
4 : 0
Slovakia W
Page 1 of 6

Northern Ireland W

(Away)
09 Jun
Northern Ireland W
1 : 2
Switzerland W
05 Jun
Turkey W
2 : 1
Northern Ireland W
18 Apr
Malta W
2 : 4
Northern Ireland W
14 Apr
Northern Ireland W
4 : 0
Malta W
07 Mar
Northern Ireland W
0 : 1
Turkey W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Slovakia W -
Ukraine W -
Greece W -
England W -
Finland W -
Serbia W -
Belarus W -
Italy W -
Northern Ireland W -
Portugal W -
Croatia W -
Iceland W -
Albania W -
Wales W -
Romania W -
Norway W -
Israel W -
Switzerland W -
Kosovo W -
Austria W -
Czech Republic W -
Scotland W -
Lithuania W -
Sweden W -
Belgium W -
Poland W -
Kazakhstan W 0
Ireland W 8
Turkey W -
Slovenia W -
Hungary W -
Netherlands W -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -