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Portugalete vs Alaves B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Alberca I.
71' Event
Pinillos Wilson L.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Portugalete and Alaves B finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Portugalete
15%
Draws
54%
Alaves B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Portugalete's 1.61 goals per match outpaces what Alaves B have produced (1.41).
  • Alaves B are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 18%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugalete Alaves B
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.61 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Portugalete vs Alaves B
0:2
Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves B vs Portugalete
0:0
Nov 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Alaves B
1:1
Feb 6, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Portugalete vs Alaves B
0:0
Nov 7, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Portugalete
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugalete Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Alaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Alberca I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinillos Wilson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugalete 20 / 100
Alaves B 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugalete Alaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portugalete scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Portugalete remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Alaves B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Portugalete VS Alaves B
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugalete

(Home)
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2
Alaves B
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 6

Alaves B

(Away)
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2
Alaves B
27 Sept
Arosa SC
2 : 5
Alaves B
20 Sept
Alaves B
3 : 1
Real Oviedo B
13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2
Alaves B
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Basconia 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
7 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)