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Portugalete vs Coruxo FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Rosas Otero D.
41' Event
Crespo G.
73' Event
Erdozia O.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Portugalete and Coruxo FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugalete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Portugalete
30%
Draws
29%
Coruxo FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portugalete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Portugalete carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Portugalete's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 68%
Coruxo FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugalete Coruxo FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.62 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Portugalete vs Coruxo FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugalete Compare

Top Goalscorer Crespo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erdozia O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Coruxo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosas Otero D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugalete 50 / 100
Coruxo FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugalete Coruxo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugalete Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portugalete scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Coruxo FC let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Portugalete stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portugalete VS Coruxo FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugalete

(Home)
10 Oct
Amorebieta
1 : 2
Portugalete
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2
Alaves B
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
Page 1 of 6

Coruxo FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Bergantinos
3 : 1
Coruxo FC
27 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Gernika Club
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
3 Sestao 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
4 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
5 Portugalete 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
6 Ourense CF 6 3 1 2 5:7 10
7 Basconia 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
8 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
9 Amorebieta 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Llanera 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Atletico Astorga 6 2 0 4 9:7 6
13 Marino De Luanco 6 2 0 4 8:12 6
14 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
15 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
16 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)