Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010

Salvatierra

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portugalete play Salvatierra in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010. Portugalete are favorites here. Recently, Portugalete averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. Salvatierra averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. In past meetings, Portugalete won 2, Salvatierra won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2010 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Portugalete and 0.81 for Salvatierra. This points to a Portugalete double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

75%

Portugalete

16%

Draws

Salvatierra

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Portugalete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Portugalete picked up more points recently compared to Salvatierra.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Portugalete Clean Sheet 26%

Salvatierra Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portugalete	Salvatierra
Matches Played	40	30
Wins	28	1
Draws	7	4
Losses	5	25
Goals Scored	1.88	0.67
Goals Conceded	0.72	2.37

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Portugalete vs Salvatierra

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 4 - 3

4:0

Nov 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Salvatierra vs Portugalete

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugalete 73 / 100

Salvatierra 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portugalete Salvatierra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugalete Win (1)

Secondary Pick Portugalete & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +11.7%

1.49

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portugalete attacking → ← attacking Salvatierra

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugalete scored in 88% of their last 40 games.

Salvatierra let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Portugalete went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Salvatierra lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

91 Points in last 5 7

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Sociedad B	38	21	12	5	68:23	75
2	Portugalete	38	19	12	7	65:31	69
3	Amorebieta	38	19	11	8	58:34	68
4	Elgoibar	38	19	8	11	40:29	65
5	Gernika Club	38	17	12	9	54:38	63
6	Beasain	38	18	9	11	58:35	63
7	SCD Durango	38	15	14	9	56:44	59
8	Amurrio Club	38	14	15	9	53:42	57
9	Zamudio	38	16	8	14	47:44	56
10	Baskonia	38	13	13	12	53:56	52
11	Laudio	38	12	13	13	31:31	49
12	Santurtzi	38	11	15	12	45:40	48
13	Zalla UC	38	13	8	17	38:47	47
14	Eibar B	38	12	10	16	46:57	46
15	Arenas Getxo	38	11	13	14	29:41	46
16	Leioa	38	13	6	19	45:59	45
17	Lagun Onak	38	11	10	17	33:42	43
18	UD Aretxabaleta	38	10	11	17	33:58	41
19	Retuerto Sport	38	5	11	22	31:74	26
20	Salvatierra	38	2	7	29	22:80	13