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Portuguesa AP vs Cruzeiro AP

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2
Sat, Jun 20, 2026
1 - 0
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portuguesa AP play Cruzeiro AP in the Amapaense 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portuguesa AP averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Cruzeiro AP averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Portuguesa AP won 1, Cruzeiro AP won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Portuguesa AP and 1.43 for Cruzeiro AP. This points to a Cruzeiro AP double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Portuguesa AP
18%
Draws
42%
Cruzeiro AP
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Cruzeiro AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Portuguesa AP picked up more points recently compared to Cruzeiro AP.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Portuguesa AP Clean Sheet 17%
Cruzeiro AP Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa AP Cruzeiro AP
Matches Played 15 7
Wins 6 4
Draws 3 1
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 1.4 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Amapaense 2
Portuguesa AP vs Cruzeiro AP
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa AP 39 / 100
Cruzeiro AP 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa AP Cruzeiro AP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cruzeiro AP or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portuguesa AP attacking → ← attacking Cruzeiro AP

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa AP scored in 60% of their last 15 games.

Cruzeiro AP let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Portuguesa AP went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cruzeiro AP lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 13
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.86
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.14